But how to get in into peoples’ arms?
On the administration of the vaccine, mathematicians and
their game theories have surpassed credentialled public health professionals in
predicting how to proceed. Health experts did not predict that a significant
number of workers would decline the vaccine (up to 40%), because of immunity acquired
from previous exposure, personal choice, or even the preference of an anti-vax
supervisor. The “discouraging supervisor” has not been discussed in the media,
but will come into greater view if vaccination clinics maintain limited hours
which shift workers find difficult to access. There has been hesitance to
release unused doses of vaccine, even as early expiration dates come near.
In New York, Governor Cuomo ordered that healthcare
providers who circumvented state-mandated priority groups for vaccination would
be fined $1 million, and their license revoked. This is not a general statement
about maintaining fair distribution of the vaccine, but a substantiated threat
as ParCare Community Health Network, a New York State provider, was sanctioned for
“fraud” in vaccinating over 800 high-risk adults ahead of schedule before New
Year’s Day. This action has had a chilling effect on providers in the state,
who have since allowed unused doses to go to waste, instead of administering
them to the general public.
As the vaccine is becoming available to greater populations,
bureaucracy and appointment-based systems are hampering the effective
distribution of the vaccine. At some hospital systems, there is an hour of
administrative work for each dose of the vaccine given. As a result, it is not
uncommon for a hospital to vaccinate only 20 of its staff in a day. A
well-planned clinic, such as the military Branch Health Clinics, should deliver
at least 400 doses per day. A Pfizer vial contains five doses, and must be used
within six hours of its opening. Emergencies and medical deferrals can cause
planned recipients to miss their doses, and in the interest of public health, another
recipient must be found. In rural areas, it will be necessary to relax priority
groups to ensure that vaccine does not go to waste. I know a ship’s officer who
drove 8 hours to get his vaccine in Norfolk, Virginia; this is not a viable option for senior
citizens or low-income individuals. Centralized vaccination centers, as Florida
and other southern states have set up, have shown great effectiveness in reaching
target groups. Nobody likes to wait in line, but practical evidence shows that
a queue is necessary to administer the vaccine without waste.
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